Skip to main content

How often does it happen?

Today, we answer a really simple question. How often does a walk-off win occur?

Thanks to David Smith of Retrosheet, we can tell you the approximate rate. Since the start of the 2000 season, a walk-off win occurs approximately once per 11.6 games.

Simply put, that means the following:

1) A typical night of baseball features one walk-off win, but it's not all that uncommon to see two.

2) The total number of walk-offs per season ranges from around 200 to 225.

3) In an average season, a team should win via walk-off 7 times (based on playing 81 games at home). The Mets have already won by walk-off 9 times, but as we've seen, this is far from a typical season.

Here's the data, for those interested

Regular season stats
2006 Through the first 924 games, 84 walk-off wins (on pace for 221). Mets have 9
2005: 2,431 games, 204 walk-off wins. Mets had 8
2004: 2,428 games, 217 walk-off wins. Mets had 8
2003: 2,430 games, 205 walk-off wins. Mets had 4
2002: 2,426 games, 214 walk-off wins. Mets had 7
2001: 2,429 games, 187 walk-off wins. Mets had 8
2000: 2,429 games, 221 walk-off wins. Mets had 6

True Metrosheets know...The fewest walk-off wins the Mets have had in a season is 3 (1968 and the strike year of 1981). The most is 14 (1971)

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Walk-Offs in Movies, TV, and Other Places

Note: I'm leaving this post up through the end of the week, a) because I don't have time to pump out something new and b)because I was hoping to build a really good list of entertainment industry walk-offs...so if you're looking for something new, check back on Monday or so... Of course, if there's a major trade or move, I'll adjust and try to post something... In the meantime, click on the "Table of Contents" link as well. It has been updated. SPOILER ALERT: Read at your own risk Caught the ending of "A League of Their Own" on one of the movie channels the other day and it got me to thinking that it would be fun to compile a list of walk-offs from movies, television, and other forms of entertainment. Here's the start, and only the start, as I spent about 30 minutes or so thinking it over Help me fill in the blanks by filling out the comments section. "A League of Their Own"-- Racine beats Rockford for the All-American Girls Profess

The best Mets ejections I know

When you think of the Mets and famous ejections, I'm guessing you first think of the famous Bobby Valentine mustache game, when after Valentine got tossed, he returned to the dugout in disguise. You know it. You love it. I remember being amused when I asked Bobby V about it while we were working on Baseball Tonight, how he simply said "It worked. We won the game." (true) But the Bobby V mustache game of June 9, 1999 is one of many, many memorable Mets ejection stories. And now thanks to Retrosheet and the magic of Newspapers.com , we have a convenient means for being able to share them. Ever since Retrosheet's David Smith recently announced that the Retrosheet ejection database was posted online , I've been a kid in a candy store. I've organized the data and done some lookups of media coverage around the games that interested me post. Those newspaper accounts fill in a lot of blanks. Without further ado (and with more work to do), here are some of my findings

Best Games I Know: Phillies (Updated)

  The best wins against the Phillies in Mets history …   May 5, 2022 – Mets 8, Phillies 7 The Mets score 7 runs in the 9 th inning to overcome a 7-1 deficit and win in Philadelphia.   April 29, 2022 – Mets 3, Phillies 0 Tylor Megill and 4 Mets relievers combine on the second no-hitter in franchise history.   September 22, 2016 – Mets 9, Phillies 8 (11) The Mets tie it in the 9 th on a Jose Reyes home run and win it in the 11 th on a 3-run home run by Asdrubal Cabrera.   July 17, 2016 - Mets 5, Phillies 0 Jacob deGrom pitches a one-hitter. Only hit is a single by Zach Eflin in the 5 th inning.   August 24, 2015 – Mets 16, Phillies 7 David Wright homers in his first at-bat in more than 4 months. The Mets hit a team-record 8 home runs.   July 5, 2012 – Mets 6, Phillies 5 The Mets score 2 runs with 2 outs in the bottom of the 9 th to beat Jonathan Papelbon. The winning run scores on David Wright’s bloop down the right field line.   August 13