Today, we answer a really simple question. How often does a walk-off win occur?
Thanks to David Smith of Retrosheet, we can tell you the approximate rate. Since the start of the 2000 season, a walk-off win occurs approximately once per 11.6 games.
Simply put, that means the following:
1) A typical night of baseball features one walk-off win, but it's not all that uncommon to see two.
2) The total number of walk-offs per season ranges from around 200 to 225.
3) In an average season, a team should win via walk-off 7 times (based on playing 81 games at home). The Mets have already won by walk-off 9 times, but as we've seen, this is far from a typical season.
Here's the data, for those interested
Regular season stats
2006 Through the first 924 games, 84 walk-off wins (on pace for 221). Mets have 9
2005: 2,431 games, 204 walk-off wins. Mets had 8
2004: 2,428 games, 217 walk-off wins. Mets had 8
2003: 2,430 games, 205 walk-off wins. Mets had 4
2002: 2,426 games, 214 walk-off wins. Mets had 7
2001: 2,429 games, 187 walk-off wins. Mets had 8
2000: 2,429 games, 221 walk-off wins. Mets had 6
True Metrosheets know...The fewest walk-off wins the Mets have had in a season is 3 (1968 and the strike year of 1981). The most is 14 (1971)
Thanks to David Smith of Retrosheet, we can tell you the approximate rate. Since the start of the 2000 season, a walk-off win occurs approximately once per 11.6 games.
Simply put, that means the following:
1) A typical night of baseball features one walk-off win, but it's not all that uncommon to see two.
2) The total number of walk-offs per season ranges from around 200 to 225.
3) In an average season, a team should win via walk-off 7 times (based on playing 81 games at home). The Mets have already won by walk-off 9 times, but as we've seen, this is far from a typical season.
Here's the data, for those interested
Regular season stats
2006 Through the first 924 games, 84 walk-off wins (on pace for 221). Mets have 9
2005: 2,431 games, 204 walk-off wins. Mets had 8
2004: 2,428 games, 217 walk-off wins. Mets had 8
2003: 2,430 games, 205 walk-off wins. Mets had 4
2002: 2,426 games, 214 walk-off wins. Mets had 7
2001: 2,429 games, 187 walk-off wins. Mets had 8
2000: 2,429 games, 221 walk-off wins. Mets had 6
True Metrosheets know...The fewest walk-off wins the Mets have had in a season is 3 (1968 and the strike year of 1981). The most is 14 (1971)
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